The Battle of Permatang Pasir
With less than 24 hours left to go, the battle of Permatang Pasir is heating up. As both parties fight tooth and nail to ensure voters to vote for them, but one could actually wonder who will win. Ok before I go on with my prediction, lets look back at the previous results back in 2004 & 2008, PAS has won this seat with a majority of 679 (2004) & 5433 (2008). So in conclusion we could say that PAS will surely win this time round as this is basically their home court. No doubt that BN had probably decided to field someone with unknown excessive baggage, which really makes you wonder how in the world did they decide to get him in the first place. Anyway, that’s probably beside the point. As UMNO use race cards to garner votes, PAS decided to use UMNO weakness as their strength to gain votes. But you’ve really got to give credit to UMNO for trying to keep their heads up even though they’ve made a mistake
My best guess would be PAS will still retain Permatang Pasir by 1-2000k votes. As my main reason behind it is that, as you know that tomorrow is Tuesday and of course it’s a working day. I doubt that people will take leave just to go back and vote for another by election. Even though now is school holidays, they might have other plans to go somewhere else already. But because this is the fasting month, the voters might not want to take a long journey back or travel. As someone once told me that they prefer not to travel during the fasting month as they would tempt them to buka puasa even before the official time. Some more this is the first week, so they might have problems with adjusting which gives them the more reason why they shouldn’t travel. Plus, I think by now people are tired with by election already. So probably they’ll go back to their mentality stating that my 1 vote will probably wouldn’t count, and if I did went back it would end up as a spoil vote.
I doubt BN would be as successful as like how they did in Manek Urai, as I think many of their supporters will vote for the opposition if not worst comes to worst just stay at home and don’t bother too much about it. It is not the first time that they boycott a by election, as how it was in Penanti. So you could seriously get a lesser crowd on that day.
Anyway this is just my speculation on what could actually happen tomorrow. As there are other reasons which I think could actually determine tomorrow’s by election results. But probably I’ll just keep those opinions to myself. For those who are going back and vote, do have a safe journey. And Selamat Berpuasa for all who are already started puasa for the 3rd day already. All the best to UMNO and PAS, and please be nice to each other as this is a fasting month. Good luck!
Filed Under: Election
